What Are The Odds That Hillary Clinton Will Become President?
2 comments August 12th, 2007
Assuming the apocalypse has not arrived before November ‘08, Hillary Clinton’s chances of being elected America’s 44th president must be assessed as being very high. Many reasons can be advanced for this hypothesis, however, the primary explanation is often overlooked.
Of all of Hillary’s serious adversaries, both Republican and Democrat, none are as strategically focussed on winning as is Senator Clinton. She alone has crafted a plan to win both the nomination and general election, assembled with the help of her husband and mentor, Bill Clinton, and facilitated by the most skilled political operators and consultants in the business. In comparison, all of her opponents are acting tactically, often with error-prone improvisations. In comparison, the Clinton political machine just keeps humming along, executing its campaign plan with meticulous discipline.
Those who are victorious in wars can point to having a strategy that is superior to that of the opposition. Such is also true of political wars. Hillary Clinton has planned her presidential romp for years, laying in place the ingredients of victory with tremendous self-discipline. Hillary is also a ruthless, take-no-prisoners political warrior. She is prepared to go the limit in ensuring her electoral triumph in November 2008, and no possible opponent on the horizon can equal her zeal.
For those who doubt the importance of a well thought out strategy as being essential for victory, just look at how the Bushies went to war in Iraq. They had no strategy, just a naive belief that the U.S. Army would be greeted as liberators in Baghdad, and then could soon return home.
The Republicans may be repeating this error in the upcoming presidential election. Many serious Republicans seem to believe that all they need to do is to select a nominee who reminds the American voters of Ronald Reagan instead of George W. Bush, and Hillary Clinton will be rejected in ‘08. This is wishful thinking, and no substitute for the serious strategic reflection that the G.O.P. must undergo if it is to have any chance of avoiding a debacle in the next general election. What is at stake for the Republican Party is not just retaining the White House; they are facing electoral annihilation in November 2008. Their only salvation is very deep and logical thinking, otherwise, they might as well place their bets on Hillary Clinton being sworn in as president in January 2009.
