Hillary Clinton Nude:Naked Ambition, Hillary Clinton And America’s Demise

Gingrich Predicts Clinton-Obama Ticket In 2008

July 31st, 2007

While still toying with the idea of running for the Republican presidential nomination, former majority leader Newt Gingrich has gone on record as predicting who the Democratic standard bearers will be in 2008. He thinks Hillary Clinton will be the presidential nominee, with Barack Obama her running mate. Other pundits have made the same prediction.

While Gingrich’s forecast may come to pass, my best guess is that he is only half right. Hillary Clinton at this point looks set to be the presidential pick of the Democrats. But I see little possibility that she will pick Obama to be on her ticket.

Getting beyond the bad blood that has now defined the competitive relationship between the two senators, Hillary Clinton and her principal political advisor, Bill Clinton, make political decisions based purely on cold-blooded calculation. From their perspective, I don’t see how Obama adds value to their ticket.

The Clintons will want a running mate that adds new strength to the ticket, rather than duplicate what’s already there. Among African-Americans Obama certainly is popular, but so are the Clintons. In some polling, Hillary actually does better among Black Democrats than Obama. In the general election, she is unlikely to attract stronger Black support with Barack Obama as the vice presidential candidate. Among other important constituencies such as labor, Hispanics and women, Obama does not add anything tangible.

In all probability, Hillary Clinton will select a running mate that draws support in key Red states that voted for Bush in 2004 but are vulnerable to the Democrats in 2008. If only one state switches from the Red to the Blue column, such as Ohio, Hillary gains the electoral votes needed to win the election. It therefore stands to reason that Senator Clinton will make a calculation based on which possible vice presidential candidate provides the greatest opportunity for winning in one of those pivotal Red states.

My guess is that it’s likely to be someone like former Iowa governor Vilsack, or a senator from a mid-western state, with Bill Richardson as a lesser possibility. If Vilsack delivers Iowa to Hillary in the first voting to be held in the 2008 campaign year, that Iowa Caucus win would probably mean that his chances of being picked to run on Hillary’s ticket are better than 50%. Vilsack not only makes a potentially ideal running mate for Hillary Clinton; he is less likely to be as vunerable as Obama to Republican attacks that claim that he is too liberal or inexperienced.

It may be that Gingrich’s prediction that Obama will be Hillary’s pick for vice president is nothing more than Republican wishful thinking. Come to think about, it seems so far that the Republican belief that they can more easily defeat Hillary Clinton than any of her Democratic Party rivals is entiely based on wishful thinking. Until the Republicans can substitute cogent political analysis for this “wing and a prayer” approach towards the 2008 presidential election, they risk enduring the mother of all electoral defeats.

Entry Filed under: Sheldon Filger, Author:"Hillary Clinton Nude"